Showing posts with label nasdaq. Show all posts
Showing posts with label nasdaq. Show all posts

Wednesday, 11 July 2012

Twitter's row with LinkedIn is about Ad money. And an IPO. Tweeters might not be happy.




There's a lot going on it seems at Twitter, launched by Jack Dorsey below in his first Tweet above, July 2006. You'll note it was called 'Twttr' then a reference at the time to 'Flickr' (2004).







This is a story of a good Social network that is a real success but that now wants to make big money following on from the Facebook IPO. In doing that, they could lose their very essence. Is there an issue with making money? Yes, if it screws up the whole plan.


Recently ending its syndication deal with LinkedIn, meant that tweets no longer show up on LinkedIn pages - and LinkedIn is the poorer for it as its pages start to look sparse. It's the start of Twitter ending their relationships with third parties. Money is at the core of this because Twitters revenue has not been exactly spectacular as we're discovering.


Twitter (over 500 million users today) makes much of its revenue from Ads (according to Forbes, about 260 million usd last year) although is thought to have made a loss in 2010. A loss two years ago.



And from The Wall Street Journal Twitters revenue was even less than the Forbes estimate "Now Twitter is striving to mature its business to be fit for an IPO and finding it has a long way to go. Twitter's ad revenue reached $139.5 million last year, eMarketer Inc. estimates, while ad revenue at Facebook which is two years older than Twitter—was 22 times larger at $3.15 billion."



Not good either way. Shockingly bad actually.


Revenue is as always, based on advertising to eyeballs. So when third parties like LinkedIn, channel tweets onto their own platform, Twitter loses those eyeballs and the Ad dollars that go with it.

So what Twitter is trying to do is to bring those eyeballs back to their own site and therefore, "monetise" them by making more money through Ads. Forcing people to view the ads on Twitter alone. In doing that and creating higher revenues, it's getting ready for an IPO.


Interestingly too, about 80% of its traffic is via mobile, highly lucrative.

Rumours abound that Twitter is to do the same and cut-off Facebook shortly and a general "clamp down" on third party apps. GetGlue could be one in the firing line I'd guess.


From a Twitter point of view, it makes money sense and a precursor I'm sure, to an impending IPO with a value estimated at just under 9 billion usd. It has already raised more than 1 billion usd in venture funding so whilst that's fine, they'll want to see their money back sometime soon. An IPO is one way to do it. Money, money, money.

Rumours also abound that Twitter is about to acquire Sense networks next month, a mobile analytics company, that provides their data for, you've guessed it, advertising. They use mobile location data and behavioural data to fine-tune ad targeting. So local advertising is on offer here by geo location. It would be Twitter's sixth acquisition this year but interestingly in the Ad space.

Roll in the audience, give them more ads, and make more money for yourself. But from a customer experience it may not be so good. After all, customers want their tweets integrated to Linkedin/Facebook and others. It's much easier and spreads the word faster.

Recent changes on Twitter include website redesign, photo sharing in 2011, privacy updates (always comes with a warning because mostly it allows them to share more of your data), logo updates on June 5 which all sounded very "corporate" and in particular, improvements on their Search, long overdue.

So Twitter is turning into its own social network (it's the number 1 Social Media site in Japan, ahead of Facebook) but with only 140 characters, which is Not a Facebook. And opening up the possibility of a new "me too" SMS service which does integrate. 


Add to that alienating the whole world of developers who've helped get Twitter to where they are - and they're not happy about it. Not one bit and boy are they blogging about it. Twitter would do well to remember how quickly things can turn against you and the bottom line is that the internet is an "open" network not a closed one. 


It could be viewed that in an ambition to generate more revenue before an IPO, customers are being squeezed. Despite this quote "I'm never going to optimise for short-term revenue at the expense of user experience", said Twitter non-founding CEO Costolo recently, at a Wired Conference in NYC. 


He took over when the three Twitter founders departed although founder Jack Dorsey returned in March 2011 with whom he says he "works well". Jack Dorsey (media person of the year at Cannes 2012) seems to spend a lot of his time though, with his other venture, Square. So why did he come back? Optics?

There's a dramatic push on at Twitter to start making some money and in advance of an IPO (or indeed a Google trade sale?). It might be some way off just now, but it's coming. An IPO to make money for the Twitter shareholders possibly to the detriment of Twitter itself.

The question will be whether the changes and new money-making attitude will have a detrimental affect, notably on users, who are the very reason Twitter exists. In a Boardroom, a drive to make money might rule customer principles. I've seen it before and certainly these changes reduces the profile of Twitter on third party apps like Linkedin.

If it does alienate users, it will all have been for nothing.
Especially, and ironically, if an IPO is on the cards.
The 'P' in IPO stands for Public.


One hopes its NASDAQ ticket won't be TWIT.

Monday, 18 June 2012

Facebook to leave Nasdaq probably. A tsunami IPO if ever there was one.





The Facebook IPO seems to have been a real watershed for everyone but now it has enveloped Nasdaq. 


If you recall, the IPO opening was delayed by technology glitches (ironic or wha?) on the exchange which meant that brokers weren't able to determine what was traded and what was not. Really a very poor show, which resulted in Nasdaq now offering some of those brokers secret compensation (millions of dollars) and it has also resulted in some of those brokers taking class actions against Nasdaq.


Now apart from the money involved, here we have a situation where your clients are suing you. The Brokers, on whom Nasdaq depends, are disgruntled to say the least and are suing Nasdaq. So when you get your clients suing you, things aren't looking good for the future.


But it all got worse over the weekend. It would seem that given all of the issues, Facebook are considering moving off the Nasdaq Exchange. And that, ladies and gentlemen, is a hammer blow.


Nasdaq (National Association of Securities Dealers Automated quotations) is the 2nd largest exchange after The New York Stock Exchange. It is owned by a private financial services corporation based in NYC, that own a number of other exchanges. Started in 1971 replacing the old "OTC" system, it was the first exchange to start trading online and consequently, very quickly, became the darling of internet companies and most notably in the first bubble.


Famously of course, its former non-executive chairman was Bernie Madoff and one time being the largest market maker on Nasdaq. Madoff started with 5,000 usd from working as a lifeguard and sprinkler installer.


When we (via net works)  floated on Nasdaq in March of 2000, there were 23 other companies floating the same day, so you get its popularity. Hence it was almost the obvious choice for Facebook.


And now that Facebook are thinking of going, it's going to take some of the tech sheen away from Nasdaq coupled with the ongoing damage that the IPO has done to the exchange. If you were going to IPO tomorrow, would you be thinking Nasdaq?


The Facebook IPO has been a tsunami. And the shock waves will be felt for a time yet. 


The SEC investigation into insider dealing has tarnished Wall Street and given the convictions on Friday, some will be shaking in their fine leather shoes.


The Facebook price collapse has tarnished Facebook in what some see as young brat billionaires showing distain for regular investors. 


And it already has reduced the stock price of many other tech companies who won't be sending Facebook Christmas Cards this year.


Not a good picture all round.
Not good for the Social space at all.