Monday 9 July 2012

Netflix stream one billion hours in June. This online streaming is going to kill Television. And quickly.



There's been a surge in Netflix traffic and they've just announced over a billion hours of video were streamed in the month of June. Netflix is one of the online video streaming businesses, where at a flat 7 euro a month, you can have "all you can eat" video. It's a family online video store - in case you've been asleep for the last year.


Nice to see that Netflix CEO Reed Hastings revealed the billion hours on Facebook appropriately and it compares to about 2 billion hours streamed in its entire last Quarter of 2011. So massive growth going on here.

In return, there's been a surge in their share price from Thursday of +13% following a +6% gain on Tuesday. So investors are loving the news.

Netflix have a goal is to reach 30m subscribers by end 2012 and currently they've about 26.5m streaming customers (and 10m DVD customers). I think few will bet against them, and in doing so, they're collecting more cash to re-invest into their own programming. Whilst they start with movie streaming, having achieved an audience, they'll start pushing their own TV. Already they've developed one series and are looking for comedy/children's programming.


The great thing about Netflix is that they know their product weaknesses and they accept it - with a view to improving it. Refreshing. Because most traditional TV broadcasters live in denial.


Amazon's Love Film are experiencing similar good growth these days too. So it's all about online entertainment at the expense of TV.



Netflix/Love film and others successes, is a direct reason that people "in the market" are now talking about the "collapse" of audience ratings on cable TV. It's a fact that people are watching less cable TV and cable TV subscribers are in long term decline. Terminal decline.


Bad news for Time Warner, Comcast, Cabelvision and them all, as households are increasingly less likely to pay for TV. All people want now, is the Web and fast internet download speeds. Terrestrial TV broadcasters are now in the same boat and are going to constantly see their business in decline.


Not just because Netflix subscribers will obviously be watching less TV, but also because broadcasters are hamstrung by schedules - pushing out content at a time that suits them and not at a time that suits the viewer - and that's no longer acceptable. 


Equally with the high level of TV competition, and a recessionary market, broadcasters have less money to invest in quality programming. It's almost a cliche now for people to say "there's nothing on the telly tonight" because there isn't of any quality which in turn has driven consumers into the arms of Netflix.


But this collapse in TV has been going on for a while and the Netflix numbers will now just accelerate it.

In April I blogged about the growth in YouTube and the inroads it's making in TV..... http://streamabout.blogspot.ie/2012/03/youtube-is-new-tv-keep-calm-people.html


In May, I talked about how Nielsen are helping prove TV is becoming wallpaper as households leave the TV switched on in the background, but spend the time doing their Facebook pages, etc so about 40% are not "actively viewing"..... 
http://streamabout.blogspot.ie/2012/05/new-nielsen-data-finds-trust-in-tv.html

And I talked about the growth of programming supported by brands from online broadcasters that's leaving traditional TV in the shade.... http://streamabout.blogspot.ie/2012/05/youtube-third-wave-and-especially.html

And about the demise of traditional TV in general.....http://streamabout.blogspot.ie/2012/05/new-tv-research-and-its-not-good.html


In June, I came across the growth of 'Peepol.tv' and how citizen journalism news is changing the face of everything but notably news and taking it away from TV stations....http://streamabout.blogspot.ie/2012/06/peepoltv-gets-funding-to-start-citizen.html


This month we saw Murdoch's News Corp, splitting in two to try to deal with the trend.

You don't have to read them, but you get the drift. This is a continuing story and traditional TV owners are in serious trouble from online broadcasters - And they're doing nothing about it. Absolutely zero except continue to depend on State handouts through licence fee support.

The explosion of Netflix and Love Film and others is going to drive viewing further and further online. And when that happens, Ad money is going to follow them and not from new budgets, but from budgets traditionally spent on TV.


Few major traditional TV broadcasters have any strategy to deal with this nor do they even try to understand it. One locally dominant station has 15,000 friends on Facebook - a chewing gum I work with has 30 times that. Imagine being less popular than a gum. I looked for their Pinterest page. Nah, not a sign.


Self-congratulatory messages about the success of their iplayers illustrates how little they know. If they think that re-broadcasting of the content through an iplayer is breakthrough, it's worrying, because it's actually "entry level" stuff. 


It's like a Bank spouting out about their banking online service as cutting edge. Or Tesco telling you how great it is because now you can shop online. That was the innovation of 10 years ago.


So online broadcasting and the explosion in Internet ready TV is coming fast.
New programming, which will be broadcasting at times that suit the viewer (on demand) in a totally customer service environment, will be the winner. It is the winner.


And as for the big old, traditional former TV monopolies?
Step aside.

2 comments:

  1. Thanks for taking the time to discuss this, I feel strongly about it and love learning more on this topic. If possible, as you gain expertise, would you mind updating your blog with more information? BY - Television Advertising

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  2. Steve, happy to leave your comment and your Ad (!). No problem, as I "gain more expertise" indeed. But I know what you mean....Stuart

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